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Risk of ischaemic stroke in people with migraine: systematic review an
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     1 Divisions of Epidemiology, Royal Victoria and Vancouver Hospitals, Canada, 2 Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain, 3 Department of Neurology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA

    Correspondence to: M Etminan, Division of Clinical Epidemiology, Royal Victoria Hospital, Montreal, QC, Canada H3A 1A1 Mahyar.etminan@mail.mcgill.ca

    Abstract

    Migraine is the most common type of headache in young adults, with an estimated prevalence of 4% before puberty and as high as 25% in women by their mid to late 30s.1 Some observational studies have shown an increase in the risk of stroke among people with a history of migraine,2 but others have failed to find this association.3 The mechanism of this potential association is believed to be in part through platelet hyperaggregability and the reduction in cerebral blood flow that usually occurs in migraine with aura.4 A potential association between the risk of stroke and migraine is an important public health concern, especially in young women who use oral contraceptives, which by itself may be an independent risk factor for stroke.5

    We sought to explore the association between migraine and ischaemic stroke by conducting a meta-analysis. Specifically, we set out to quantify the risk of ischaemic stroke among people with migraine (with and without aura), as well as to quantify this risk among different age groups and users of oral contraceptives.

    Methods

    Our search resulted in 11 case-control studies,2-3 11-19 three cohort studies,20-22 and one cross sectional study23 (table 1). We excluded the cross sectional study from the analysis, as the timing of diagnosis of migraine with respect to development of ischaemic stroke was difficult to infer in this study. In total, we included 14 studies in the meta-analysis.2-3 11-22 Six studies provided data on the risk of ischaemic stroke and migraine with and without aura.2 3 12-14 17 The age of the participants in the included studies ranged from 15 to 84 years. The incidence of stroke among people with migraine in the three cohort studies ranged from 3.56 to 350 cases per 100 000 person years.20-22

    Table 1 Relative risks of ischaemic stroke according to type of migraine

    The pooled relative risk for ischaemic stroke among patients with any type of migraine headache was 2.16 (95% confidence interval 1.89 to 2.48) (table 2, fig 1). The relative risks for people with migraine with and without aura were 2.27 (1.61 to 3.19) and 1.83 (1.06 to 3.15). This risk did not differ when we stratified our analysis by age (table 2). Users of oral contraceptives had an approximately eightfold increase in the risk of stroke compared with those not using these agents.

    Table 2 Pooled relative risks of ischaemic stroke stratified by migraine type, oral contraceptive use, and age

    Fig 1 Forest plot of the studies of migraine and ischaemic stroke

    We did not find evidence of publication bias either graphically from the funnel plot (fig 2) or quantitatively (P = 0.685 for Egger's test of asymmetry). The pooled relative risk for the sensitivity analysis still showed a significant increase in the risk of stroke (relative risk 1.43, 1.21 to 1.68).

    Fig 2 Funnel plot of the studies of migraine and ischaemic stroke

    Discussion

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    ((Mahyar Etminan, pharmacoepidemiologist1,)