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Neurological sequelae in twins born after assisted conception: controlled national cohort study
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     1 Fertility Clinic, University of Copenhagen, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark, 2 Institute of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Blegdamsvej 3, DK-2200 Copenhagen, Denmark, 3 Department of Neonatology, University of Copenhagen, Rigshospitalet, 4 National Board of Health, Health Statistics, Islandsbrygge 67, DK-2300 Copenhagen, Denmark

    Correspondence to: A Pinborg apinborg@rh.dk

    Abstract

    In Denmark 5% of infants are the result of in vitro fertilisation (IVF) techniques (IVF and intracytoplasmic sperm injection, ICSI), and the latest European data from 2000 showed that 39% of IVF infants were born as twins.1 Hence assisted conception and increasing maternal age have had a great impact on the national twin birth rates.

    Several studies have shown that twin pregnancies are the main reason for the overall poorer neonatal outcome in pregnancies after assisted conception.2-5

    In population based studies on naturally conceived children, twins have four times the risk of cerebral palsy as singletons.6 However, the literature specifically addressing long term morbidity in twins after assisted conception is limited. A Swedish register study has found an increased risk of cerebral palsy in children after assisted conception, mainly because of the high rate of twins.7 Our recent Danish questionnaire study showed similar morbidity in twins after assisted conception and naturally conceived twins, but compared with singletons after assisted conception twins were more likely to have surgical interventions, special needs, and delayed speech development, whereas the prevalence of neurological sequelae was equal.8

    To study the long term effects of IVF techniques on twins we established a database with all singletons and twins born after assisted conception between 1995 and 2000. Perinatal outcomes including prevalence rates of malformations, malignancies, mortality, and data on the use of treatments for special needs, including speech therapy, in these children have been published recently.8-10

    We assessed prevalence rates of neurological sequelae in Denmark in a nationwide cohort of twins after IVF techniques and in two population based control groups of naturally conceived twins and of singletons conceived by IVF techniques. We also compared the roles of ICSI and conventional IVF in neurological sequelae in these children.

    Methods

    Demographic data

    We included 3393 twins conceived by IVF or ICSI, 10 239 naturally conceived twins, and 5130 IVF or ICSI singletons in the study. Table 1 shows mothers' and infants' characteristics. Since 41 IVF twins and 95 control twins were survivors of a stillborn co-twin, the number of children in both twin cohorts was odd. As expected, mothers of IVF or ICSI twins were older than control twin mothers but younger than mothers of IVF or ICSI singletons. For 1676 IVF-ICSI twin pairs and for 5103 control twin pairs the sex of both twins was known. In contrast to 65.3% (3330/5103) control twin pairs with the same sex, only 50.8% (851/1676) of the IVF or ICSI twins were same sex (P < 0.001; table 1). The zygosity of twins can be determined by Weinberg's differential method.15 In our study, this estimation results in 1.6% (26/1676) monozygotic IVF or ICSI and 31% (1557/5103) monozygotic control twin pairs. We adjusted all analyses for year of birth to account for the differences in average child age at time of follow up.

    Table 1 Mothers' and infants' characteristics in the three cohorts

    Neurological sequelae

    We observed similar prevalence rates of neurological sequelae in IVF or ICSI twins and the two control groups. The crude prevalence of children with neurological sequelae was 8.8/1000 in IVF or ICSI twins, 9.6/1000 in control twins, and 8.2/1000 in IVF or ICSI singletons. The prevalence rates of the specific diagnoses cerebral palsy and mental retardation were also similar (table 2). Odds ratios of neurological sequelae, cerebral palsy, and mental retardation with and without adjustment for a child's sex and year of birth were the same in IVF or ICSI twins and both control groups (table 3). The odds ratios of neurological sequelae in ICSI compared with IVF children were 1.3 (95% confidence interval 0.6 to 3.0) for twins and 0.5 (0.2 to 1.2) singletons.

    Table 2 Numbers of children in the three cohorts with neurological sequelae. Diagnoses were counted per child. The primary diagnoses were classified according to severity in the ranking order system. Diagnoses were recorded from 1 January 1995 to 31 December 2002

    Table 3 Odds ratio of neurological sequelae, cerebral palsy and mental retardation in IVF-ICSI twins versus control twins and IVF-ICSI singletons. Results are presented as odds ratios and adjusted odds ratios for child sex and year of birth with 95% confidence intervals

    We identified one twin pair with neurological sequelae in 30 IVF or ICSI twins and six in 98 control twins, all of the same sex. The concordance rates were therefore 3.3% and 6.1%, respectively.

    The role of zygosity

    To account for the higher monozygotic rate among naturally conceived twins, we computed odds ratios of neurological sequelae in IVF or ICSI twins of the opposite sex compared with twins of the same sex (0.7, 0.3 to 1.4) and in control twins (1.0, 0.8 to 1.4). To exclude the monozygotic twins we restricted our analyses to twins of the opposite sex. The odds ratios for neurological sequelae were 1.1 (0.6 to 2.3), mental retardation 1.1 (0.4 to 2.6), and cerebral palsy 1.3 (0.4 to 4.0) in twins of the opposite sex conceived by IVF or ICSI compared with control twins of the opposite sex.

    Factors influencing the risk of neurological sequelae

    We performed multiple logistic regression analyses for all children in the three cohorts and for twins alone to explore the effect of relevant confounders on the risk of neurological sequelae. In each of the analyses we tested separately the risk of the two outcomes, neurological sequelae and cerebral palsy. Table 4 shows that low birth weight or prematurity and male sex were strong risk factors for both outcome measures. After adjustment for low birth weight or prematurity, we observed that IVF and maternal age > 35 years had no independent effect on the risk of neurological sequelae, and neither had being a twin. In the analyses restricted to twins, IVF or ICSI twins had no greater risk of neurological sequelae than naturally conceived twins (table 4). We adjusted all data in the logistic regression analysis for children's year of birth.

    Table 4 Multiple logistic regression analysis showing independent effects of being a twin infant, assisted conception (IVF and ICSI), maternal age 35 years, male sex, and low birth weight (<2500 g) (upper panel) or low gestational age (<37 weeks) (lower panel) on the risk of neurological sequelae and cerebral palsy. Results are presented as odds ratios (95% confidence intervals), adjusted for child sex and year of birth

    To study the effect of ICSI, we performed regression analyses restricted to IVF or ICSI children. ICSI children had similar odds ratios as IVF children for neurological sequelae (0.9, 0.5 to 1.6) and cerebral palsy (0.8, 0.3 to 2.4). Also in these analyses male sex and low birth weight or prematurity independently affected the risk of both outcomes, and we found no difference between twins and singletons in the risk of any of the outcomes.

    Discussion

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