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Risk for schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like psychosis among patients
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     1 National Centre for Register-based Research, University of Aarhus, Taasingegade 1, DK-8000, Aarhus C, Denmark, 2 Department of Social Medicine and Health Management, School of Public Health, Central South University, China, 3 Department of Epidemiology, Institute of Public Health, University of Aarhus, Denmark

    Correspondence to: P Qin pq@ncrr.dk

    Objectives To investigate whether age at onset of epilepsy, type of epilepsy, family history of psychosis, or family history of epilepsy affect the risk of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis among patients with epilepsy.

    Design Comparison of population based data.

    Setting Danish longitudinal registers.

    Subjects The cohort comprised 2.27 million people.

    Main outcome measures Epilepsy, psychosis, personal birth data.

    Results We found an increased risk of schizophrenia (relative risk 2.48, 95% confidence interval 2.20 to 2.80) and schizophrenia-like psychosis (2.93, 2.69 to 3.20) in people with a history of epilepsy. The effect of epilepsy was the same in men and in women and increased with age. Family history of psychosis and a family history of epilepsy were significant risk factors for schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like psychosis, and the effect of epilepsy, both in cases and families, was greater among people with no family history of psychosis. In addition, the increased risk for schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis did not differ by type of epilepsy but increased with increasing number of admissions to hospital and, particularly, was significantly greater for people first admitted for epilepsy at later ages.

    Conclusions There is a strong association between epilepsy and schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis. The two conditions may share common genetic or environmental causes.

    The association between epilepsy and psychosis has been researched since the nineteenth century. Several studies1-4 but not all5 6 have found a higher prevalence of schizophrenia-like psychosis in patients with epilepsy compared with the general population. Yet many questions remain unanswered and large scale studies using empirical data are scant.7 The causal mechanism underlying the association is unclear. Seizures may damage the brain, which may in turn increase the risk of schizophrenia-like psychosis, or the two conditions may share common aetiological factors. These hypotheses may be disentangled by evaluating the risk of schizophrenia-like psychosis in people with a family history of epilepsy.8 Genetic vulnerability to psychosis may facilitate the development of psychosis in the patients with epilepsy.9 10 However, there have been no published family history studies with appropriate methods.8 In addition, differences in risk of developing psychosis—for example, by type of epilepsy, age at onset, and number of admission to hospital—remain poorly understood.

    In this population based cohort study we examined the risk of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis associated with a history of epilepsy using data from Danish longitudinal registers. We also investigated how and to what extent this risk is influenced by family histories of psychosis and of epilepsy.

    Methods

    Subjects and data assessment

    All data in this study were retrieved from Danish longitudinal registers and merged by means of the unique personal identification number, given to all Danes at birth and to new residents in Denmark.11 The number for each individual is stored in the Danish civil registration system together with information on vital status, emigration, address, and the identification numbers of mother, father, and siblings. It is used in all national registers, thus enabling accurate linkage of information across registers at the individual level.

    We identified virtually all of 2 315 857 people who were born in Denmark from 1 January 1950 to 31 December 1987 and could be linked to their mother. We excluded individuals who were not alive at the 15th birthday, who died or emigrated before the year 1977, and who had been admitted to a psychiatric hospital before the onset of epilepsy or who had been admitted with a schizophrenia-like psychosis before the age of 15 (total number 45 475). We restricted recruitment to those born in 1950 and afterwards with an identified mother because we wanted to examine the effect of family history and people born after 1950 more often had registered links to parents. We chose to follow people who were alive at the 15th birthday because schizophrenia-like psychosis is rare among people under 15 years old. We excluded people with a psychiatric history before admission for epilepsy because we focused on history of epilepsy as an exposure. We thus included 2 270 372 people and followed this cohort from their 15th birthday or 1 January 1977 (whichever came later) until the date of onset of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis, the date of death, the date of emigration, or 31 December 2002 (whichever came first).

    Treatment in Danish hospitals is free for all residents. Individual data on every admission to general hospitals have been recorded in the national hospital register12 since 1977, and to psychiatric hospitals in the Danish psychiatric central register13 since 1967. Data on outpatient contacts (visits to emergency department, hospital clinics, or calls for ambulance) became available in the registers after 1995. Diagnoses of illness in these registers were coded according to ICD-8 (international classification of diseases, eighth revision) until the end of 1993 and ICD-10 (10th revision) afterwards.

    We retrieved personal data on epilepsy (ICD-8 code 345; ICD-10 code G40) from 1 January 1977 to 31 December 2002 from the Danish national hospital register.12 Examination of inpatient and outpatient data from 1995 to 2002 showed that the annual incidence of epilepsy was about 65 per 100 000 population, and in about 80% of all incident cases the patient was admitted to hospital for treatment. Because of this and because these data have been available since 1977 we considered only inpatients. We categorised epilepsy into four types according to the diagnosis at each admission: complex partial seizures (ICD-8 code 345.31; ICD-10 code G40.2), other partial seizures (ICD-8 codes 345.30, 345.38, 345.39; ICD-10 code G40.0, G40.1), generalised epilepsy (ICD-8 codes 345.09, 345.10, 345.11; ICD-10 code G40.3), and other or unspecified epilepsy (ICD-8 codes 345.18, 345.19, 345.29, 345.99; ICD-10 codes G40.4, G40.5, G40.6, G40.7, G40.8, G40.9, G41). We grouped the age at onset (first record in the register) into eight categories—that is, 0-4, 5-9, 10-14, 15-19, 20-24, 25-29, 30-34, or 35 years. We also constructed a variable indicating the total number of hospital admissions for epilepsy until the onset of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis.

    We obtained psychiatric information from the Danish psychiatric central register.13 Our diagnoses of interest were schizophrenia (ICD-8 code 295; ICD-10 code F20) and the broad category of schizophrenia-like psychosis (ICD-8 codes 295, 297, 298.39, 301.83; ICD-10 codes F20, F21, F23, F24, F25, F28, F29). The date of onset referred to the date of first admission to a psychiatric hospital because of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis that was recorded on the register.

    To get data on family history of psychosis and epilepsy, we used the civil registration system to identify fathers, siblings, and mothers of study subjects and then linked the identification numbers of parents and siblings to the psychiatric central register and the national hospital register. Of all cohort members for whom we could identify a mother, 97.3% also had registered links to a father and 84.5% had links to at least one sibling. We defined psychosis in family members hierarchically: schizophrenia (ICD-8 code 295; ICD-10 code F20), schizophrenia-like psychosis (ICD-8 codes 297, 298.39, 301.83; ICD-10 codes F21, F23, F24, F25, F28, F29), or affective psychosis (ICD-8 codes 296.09, 296.19, 296.29, 296.89, 296.99, 298.09, 298.19, 300.19, 300.49; ICD-10 codes F30-F39). A family history of psychosis or epilepsy means that at least one parent or sibling had been admitted to hospital for psychosis or epilepsy before the index case was admitted for schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis.

    Statistical analysis

    We assessed the relative risk of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis through log-linear Poisson regression with the GENMOD procedure, using SAS software, version 8 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). P values were based on two tailed likelihood ratio tests, and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by Wald's test. Interactions between variables and linear trend were examined by means of the likelihood ratio test.

    We controlled for possible confounding by adjusting data for age, sex, calendar year of diagnosed psychosis (1977-81, 1982-7, 1988-93, 1994-9), maternal and paternal age at birth, birth order, and place of birth (capital, suburb of capital, city with more than 100 000 inhabitants, town with more than 10 000 inhabitants, and rural area). We treated age, calendar year of diagnosis, epilepsy status, type of epilepsy, and schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis status as well as the family historical data as time dependent variables.

    Results

    In our cohort of 2.27 million people, 34 494 (1.5%) had a history of epilepsy, with a median age of 14.7 at the first admission. During follow-up, 276 (0.8%) of them were later admitted to hospital for schizophrenia and 519 (1.5%) for schizophrenia-like psychosis. The median duration between the first admission for epilepsy and the first admission of schizophrenia or of schizophrenia-like psychosis was 8.2 years or 8.0 years, respectively. Table 1 displays the distribution of cases and person years at risk in our cohort.

    Table 1 Distribution of cases with schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like psychosis and person years at risk in the study cohort of 2.27 million people

    Main effect of epilepsy

    A history of epilepsy was associated with an increased risk of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis; and the effect remained virtually unchanged when we controlled for various potential confounders (table 2). People with epilepsy had 2.48 times the risk of schizophrenia (95% confidence interval 2.20 to 2.80) and 2.93 times the risk of schizophrenia-like psychosis (2.69 to 3.20) compared with the general population.

    Table 2 Relative risk (95% confidence interval) of schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like psychosis associated with epilepsy and family history of psychosis and epilepsy

    The impact of epilepsy on the risk of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis was not statistically different by sex (test of sex interaction: P = 0.31 for schizophrenia, P = 0.51 for schizophrenia-like psychosis) but differed significantly by age (P < 0.01 for schizophrenia, P = 0.04 for schizophrenia-like psychosis). Stratified analyses by age showed that the relative risk of schizophrenia was 2.03 (1.67 to 2.47), 2.28 (1.88 to 2.78), and 4.00 (3.14 to 5.09) for people aged 15-24, 25-34, and 35, respectively. The corresponding relative risks for schizophrenia-like psychosis were 2.38 (2.07 to 2.74), 3.13 (2.73 to 3.58), and 3.77 (3.08 to 4.61).

    These results were virtually unchanged when we excluded people who were registered with epilepsy for the first time between 1977 and 1982, although some of these people could be prevalent cases with onset of epilepsy before January 1977 (data not shown).

    Family history of psychosis and epilepsy

    A family history of psychosis and a family history of epilepsy were significant risk factors for schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like psychosis after we adjusted for personal history of epilepsy (table 2). A family history of schizophrenia increased the risk of schizophrenia by a factor of 7.57 (6.98 to 8.20) and the risk of schizophrenia-like psychosis by a factor of 6.24 (5.83 to 6.69), while the figures for family history of epilepsy were 1.11 (1.01 to 1.22) for schizophrenia and 1.20 (1.11 to 1.29) for schizophrenia-like psychosis.

    Moreover, our data indicate that the effect of both personal and familial history of epilepsy interacted with the effect of a family history of psychosis (test of interaction: P = 0.0081 and P = 0.0732, respectively, for schizophrenia-like psychosis). Table 3 shows that a personal history of epilepsy had a stronger effect on the risk for schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis in people without a family history of psychosis than for people with it. At the same time, a family history of epilepsy significantly increased the risk only for people with no family history of psychosis.

    Table 3 Adjusted relative risks* (95% confidence intervals) associated with epilepsy in cases and family relatives, stratified analysis according to family history of psychosis

    Type of epilepsy, age at admission, and number of admissions

    All types of epilepsy significantly increased the risk of developing schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis (table 4). The relative risk associated with complex partial epilepsy was slightly higher than the others, but the differences were not significant.

    Table 4 Relative risks* for schizophrenia and like psychosis according to type of epilepsy

    The effect of epilepsy differed significantly according to age at first admission for epilepsy and number of admissions. The relative risk increased consistently with increasing age at onset (table 5). For every five year increase in age at diagnosis the increase was linear, resulting in an analogous relative risk of 1.20 (1.12 to 1.28, P < 0.0001) for schizophrenia of 1.20 (1.14 to 1.26, P < 0.0001) for schizophrenia-like psychosis. This effect was also evident when we stratified analyses by age. The relative risk for schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis also tended to be higher for people with multiple admissions for epilepsy.

    Table 5 Relative risks (95% confidence intervals) of schizophrenia or schizophrenia-like psychosis in relation to age at first admission and total number of admissions for epilepsy

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